By Garetjax
The Holidays are over and its been far too long since I have posted. Let’s take a look at the $17.4 Billion Auto Bailout. Before I begin Kudos to Ford for not asking for any money. My next American Car will definitely be a Ford Product. Mandatory reading should include this article from the Wall Street Journal U.S. Throws Lifeline to Detroit
At first glance the deal seems to have some teeth to it but as always the devil is in the details. From that WSJ article:
“Under the White House plan, the companies are required to extract enough financial concessions from workers, suppliers, dealers and other stakeholders to demonstrate their long-term viability by the end of March.
The deal’s ambitious targets for the companies include replacing two-thirds of their debt with stock; using more stock instead of cash to fund retiree health-care obligations; eliminating much-criticized union “jobs banks” that pay laid-off auto workers; and establishing wage structures and workplace rules that are more competitive with foreign rivals.”
But all those targets are nonbinding, and the agreement appeared to be much more porous than legislation that the administration and Democratic congressional leaders failed to pass earlier this month.”
This quote tells me we are just going to see more of the same from Barney Frank and friends, I seem to recall him saying something very similar when there was talk of tightening regulations on Fannie Mae and he fought that as well and we all know how that turned out:
“UAW leaders and their congressional allies were already signaling Friday that they would seek to ease the terms of the deal next year as they expect more friends on Capitol Hill and in the White House. Top Democratic leaders complained about the administration’s aim of reducing worker wages and benefits. Rep. Barney Frank (D., Mass.), chairman of the House Financial Services Committee, termed the provisions “an unfair assault on working men and women.”"
And more loopholes for the automakers:
“But the pact gives the companies leeway, even if they don’t obtain all the concessions they are seeking. The deal generally tracks key provisions of the bailout legislation that nearly passed Congress. But it provides significant flexibility to the companies in how they prove “viability.”
And according to a White House fact sheet, the cost-cutting targets “would be nonbinding in the sense that negotiations can deviate from the quantitative targets … providing that the [company] reports the reasons for these deviations and makes the business case to achieve long-term viability in spite of the deviations.”"
What does all this mean? My prediction is by the end of March, the supposed “due date” Chrysler and GM will beg for more time and more money. The UAW will not have conceded anything of merit and the suppliers will probably have been squeezed a bit.
I would like to see more details on why Ford is succeeding (well at least not in as dire straits as the other big three). Do they not also have the burden of the UAW? Before any more money goes to Chrysler and GM it should be looked at to see if they are making the same hard choices Ford has been making before they get another nickel.